| Seven Status
Reports for Project STORK
Part 4 of 4 parts
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SUMMARY OF DATA FROM 168 COMPLETED Q. 1.2 Time of day.
Q. 1.4 Certainty rating.
Q. 3 Where were you located when you saw the object?
Q. 3.1 Were you:
* The percentage figures are based on the 168 completed
questionnaires. [ RESTRICTED ]
UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ [ RESTRICTED ]
Q. 7 Were you moving (in a vehicle) at any time while you saw the object?
a. Yes 17.9% Q. 8 and 8.1 What direction were you facing
when you first saw the object, and what direction First saw (percentage)
Incomplete: 10.7% Q. 8.2 Certainty rating:
Q. 9 Were you wearing eye glasses?
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UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ [ RESTRICTED ]
Q. 10 How was the object seen?
Q. 11 Weather conditions,
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UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ [ RESTRICTED ]
Q. 12 Estimate how long you saw the object.
Q. 12.1 Certainty rating.
Q. 13 Did the object look:
Q. 14 Did the object at any time:
Q. 15 Did the object give off a light?
UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ [ RESTRICTED ]
Q. 16 Sound and Color;
Q. 17 Was there more than one object? 30.9% responded yes, *
Q. 18.1 Did the object move behind something?
Q. 18.2 Did the object move in front of something?
Q. 18.2 Did the object move in front of something?
* Percentages below are per cent of the 30.9% that answered yes. UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ [ RESTRICTED ]
Q. 19 Size estimates:
Q. 20 Certainty rating:
Q. 20.1 How high above the earth was it?
Q. 20,2 How far was it from you?
Q. 20.3 How fast was it going?
UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ [ RESTRICTED ]
Q. 20.4 Certainty rating:
Q. 21 How did the object disappear from view?
Q. 26 Was this the first time that you have seen an object like this?
Q. 29 Was anyone else with you at the time you saw the object?
UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ [ RESTRICTED ]
EXHIBIT II. U. S. AIR FORCE TECHNICAL
INFORMATION
UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ View images of U. S. Air Force Technical Information Sheet, Form A and Form B (Opens a new window) ================================================================ SEVENTH STATUS REPORT on CONTRACT AF-19741, PPS-100 to
AIR TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE CENTER November 10, 1952 ================================================================ TABLE OF CONTENTS
================================================================ SEVENTH STATUS REPORT on CONTRACT AF-19741, PPS-100 to AIR TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE CENTER November 10, 1952
This report describes progress for the period from October 11, 1952, to November 10, 1952. ANALYSIS OF EXISTING SIGHTING REPORTS Sighting reports dated up to and including June, 1952, have been processed. Except for the reports dated 1947 and 1948, all sighting reports up to and including March, 1952, have been evaluated. The sighting reports for 1947 and 1948 are not available for evaluation. As soon as the 1947 and 1948 reports are available and can be evaluated, all sighting reports for the years 1947 to 1951 will be ready as a group for preliminary analysis utilizing IBM equipment. Sighting reports for the month of July, 1952, have been received. Because there are 450 sighting reports for July, processing them will not be completed until the first week in December. Evaluation of reports for the months of April, May, June, and July, 1952, will require about six days of conference time. Conferences for the evaluation of sighting reports will be arranged as reports become processed in groups of 2000. Each group of reports will require about two days of work for a cooperating researcher - WPAFB evaluation team. ================================================================ -2- The evaluation of 1952 reports will be more time consuming than was the case for earlier reports, because reports now are in more detail and often consist of sightings of one object by more than one individual. Since October 16, 1952, it has been necessary to establish a rotation system for handling sighting reports, no more than 100 sighting reports being permitted away from WPAFB at any one time. Questionnaires and work sheets completed here must therefore be put in duplicate folders before sighting reports matching these questionnaires and work sheets are returned to WPAFB in return for unprocessed sighting reports. When evaluation conferences are held, these folders must be matched before an evaluation is made. The necessity for establishing a rotation system has caused some delay in progress. ANALYSIS OF SOIL AND VEGETATION SAMPLES Two samples of vegetation and soil from Pittsburgh, Kansas, which were submitted by WPAFB for analysis, have been thoroughly studied. Examination by experts on soil and vegetation disclosed no difference between the two samples from the two areas where the specimens were obtained. Tests for radioactivity likewise showed no significant difference between the two samples of soil and vegetation. Tests were made for beta, gamma, and alpha radiation. Samples of the "Kansas" soil and the vegetation will be returned to WPAFB in the near future. CONSULTANT ON ASTRONOMY Dr. J. Allen Hynek, of Ohio State University, attended the Boston meeting of the Optical Society of America on October 11, 1952. The Society ================================================================ -3- took cognizance this year of the many reports of unusual aerial phenomena by including three invited papers on the subject in their otherwise straightforward scientific meeting. One of the invited papers was by Dr. Hynek, entitled "Unusual Aerial Phenomena". The other two papers were by Drs. Menzel and Liddell, of Harvard Observatory and the Atomic Energy Commission, respectively. The papers of Menzel and Liddell, though differing somewhat in content, were identical in spirit. Both papers were characterized by the fact that numerous explanations for unexplained sightings were given without a single reference to a specific sighting in the files of the Air Technical Intelligence Command. Both papers presented a series of well-worn statements as to how jet fighters, meteors, reflections from balloons and aircraft, and optical effects, such as sundogs and mirages, could give rise to "flying saucer" reports. Since there was nothing new in either of the two papers, the trip from that standpoint was unproductive. The paper by Dr. Hynek, in essence, was to the effect that flying saucers represented a science-public relations problem that when a sighting is made by several people, at least one of whom is an experienced observer, the mutually corroborated reports are entitled to a scientific hearing, rather than ridicule. It stressed the point that here was a subject in which the public has shown great interest. It was recommended that the relatively few well-screened reports be dealt with specifically to see whether any of the causes suggested by Drs. Liddell and Menzel are applicable, and if so, to make this known in these specific instances. On the other hand, if the suggested explanations of Drs. Liddell and Menzel do not explain well-screened cases, this should also be made known and given further scientific study. ================================================================ -4- In conclusion, it was the opinion of Dr. Hynek that little was gained by attendance at the meeting. The results were negative in the sense that it was confirmed, as Dr. Hynek already believed, that Drs. Liddell and Menzel had not studied the literature and the evidence and, hence, were not qualified to speak with authority on the subject of recent sightings of unidentified aerial phenomena. An attempt to arrange a meeting by Dr. Hynek with Dr. Menzel, Dr. Liddell, and Dr. Billings, after the meeting was over, was unsuccessful because Liddell and Billings both had to leave immediately after the meeting. INTERROGATION REPORTS Five hundred copies of the "U. S. Air Force Technical Information Sheet" (Form A and Form B) were delivered to WPAFB on October 20, 1952. This questionnaire was used in place of the "Tentative Observers Data Sheet" to record data on all sighting reports dated after March 31, 1952. It has proved to be more satisfactory than the previous form, especially from the standpoint of recording data from sighting reports in greater detail. Additional copies of the "U. S. Air Force Technical Information Sheet" can be supplied to WPAFB as needed. FUTURE WORK Coding and evaluation of 1952 sighting reports will continue. A preliminary analysis of data on all sighting reports dated previous to 1952 will be given to WPAFB as soon as possible after evaluation is completed of the 1947 and 1948 sighting reports. ================================================================ -5- By December 10, 1952, all sighting reports dated before June 15, 1952, should be processed and evaluated, ready for IBM analysis. Complete IBM analysis of all sighting reports will not be started until all reports dated previous to 1953 are processed and evaluated. Because of the nature of the work required, and the fact that the number of reports for the last three months of 1952 is not yet known, no estimate can be given as to the time final IBM analysis will begin. It is hoped, if the frequency of sighting reports follows the present decreasing trend, that complete IBM analysis for sightings dated through 1952 may be started by February 1, 1953. VWE:eg ================================================================ RESTRICTED [
] December 15, 1952 Mr. Miles E. Goll Dear Mr. Goll: This letter report describes progress for the period from November 11, 1952, to December 10, 1952. Sighting reports up to and including July 25, 1952, have been processed. Except for reports dated 1947 and 1948, all sighting reports up to and including June, 1952, have been evaluated. The sighting reports for 1947 and 1948 were returned from Harvard University on November 20. Because the reports and the forms which had been filled in and placed with the folders were mixed up, these reports will not be ready for evaluation until about December 15. Two evaluation conferences of two days each were held during this report period, on November 12 and 13, and on December 3 and 4. During the report period, evaluation has been more difficult than formerly, because the amount and quality of data in the average report have increased. Evaluation conferences will be scheduled in the future as reports are available. The rotation system for handling sighting reports, whereby no more than 100 sighting reports are permitted away from WPAFB at any one time, has functioned with a minimum of delay. Coding and evaluation of 1952 sighting reports will continue. The preliminary analysis of data on all sighting reports dated before 1952 will begin as soon as the 1947 and 1948 reports can be straightened out and evaluated. Results or this analysis will be given to WPAFB at the earliest possible time. It is hoped that the results will be available by January 1, 1953. By about January 15, 1953, all sighting reports dated before August 10, 1952, will probably be processed and evaluated, ready for IBM analysis. Dr. J. Allen Hynek, The Ohio State University, gave advice concerning several sighting reports during the report period. Very truly yours, /s/ William T. Reid
William T. Reid WTR:eg cc: Capt. F. H. McGovern
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] January 23, 1953 Mr. Miles E. Goll Dear Mr. Goll: This letter report describes progress for the period from December 11, 1952, to January 10, 1953. Sighting reports have now been processed up to and including August 10, 1952. Evaluation of sighting reports has been completed for sightings up to and including July 15, 1952. Reports for 1947 and 1948 were evaluated; these reports had been at Harvard University and thus had not been evaluated in chronological order. In our previous letter to you dated December 15, 1952, it was stated that a preliminary analysis of data from all sighting reports made before 1952 would begin as soon as possible after the 1947 and 1948 reports were reprocessed and evaluated. It had been hoped that results of the preliminary analysis would be available by January 1, 1953. This has not been possible, because of the extensive work required in reprocessing the 1947 and 1948 sighting reports after their return from Harvard University. Reprocessing of these reports required more time than anticipated, because many of our forms had been lost. This has delayed our consideration of the 1952 sighting reports. One two-day evaluation conference was held during this report period, on December 17 and 18, 1952. As mentioned in the last progress report, evaluation of later sighting reports has been more difficult than for earlier ones. Preliminary analysis by IBM machines of data from sighting reports dated before 1952 will begin January 20, 1952. Results of this analysis will be sent to WPAFB as soon as they are available. The results will be reported informally first to Captain Ruppelt, as be has requested. Later, they will be included in a routine progress report. Coding and evaluation of 1952 sighting reports is continuing, with evaluation conferences scheduled as they are necessary. All sighting reports dated prior to August 25, 1952, should be processed by February 15, 1953. (The period of August 10 to 25, 1952, was one during which a large number of sighting reports was received. By this same date, all reports dated before August 1, 1952, are expected to be evaluated. Very truly yours. /s/ William T. Reid
William T. Reid WTR:eg cc: Maj. L. G. Whitcher
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UNCLASSIFIED ================================================================ February 23, 1953 Mr. Miles E. Goll Dear Mr. Goll: This letter report describes progress for the period from January 11, 1953, to February 10, 1953. Sighting reports have now been processed up to and including October 15, 1952. Evaluation of sighting reports has been completed for sightings up to and including July 31, 1952. Preliminary analysis by IBM machines of data from sighting reports dated before 1952 began on January 26, 1953. This work is continuing, and results of the analysis will be forwarded informally to Captain Ruppelt as soon as they are available. One two-day evaluation conference was held during this report period, on January 22 and 23, 1953. Because only one WPAFB representative was available to participate in the conference, less than the normal amount of work was accomplished. (Usually, 180 to 200 cases can be evaluated during a two-day evaluation conference. On January 22 and 23, 1953, 145 cases were evaluated.) Coding and evaluation of 1952 sighting reports is continuing, with evaluation conferences scheduled as they are necessary. All sighting reports remaining for the year 1952 should be processed by March 15, 1953. By that same date, all sighting reports dated prior to September 1 are expected to be evaluated. Very truly yours. /s/ William T. Reid
William T. Reid WTR:eg cc: Maj. L. G. Whitcher ================================================================
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